Indonesia 2026 Growth to Hover Near 5.2%, BRIDS Says, Citing Improving Liquidity
00:00
00:00
- BRIDS expects Indonesia’s economy to grow 5.1%–5.3% in 2026, below 5.5%, supported by consumption, investment and liquidity.
- Consumer confidence rose to 127, while M2 grew 9.6% and credit began to expand, reinforcing the improving outlook.
- With global rates easing and domestic policy accommodative, BRIDS highlights bonds as a portfolio stabilizer alongside equities.
Indonesia’s economic growth throughout 2026 is expected to remain below 5.5%, with expansion supported mainly by domestic consumption, investment activity and ample liquidity conditions.
PT BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) projects 2026 growth in the 5.1% to 5.3% range, citing Indonesia’s Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) climbing to 127.
From the banking side, broad money supply (M2) increased by 9.6%, while lending has started to turn more expansionary.
“This year, the impact of economic policies is beginning to be felt. Purchasing power is improving, liquidity is loose, and business activity is picking up,” BRIDS Chief Economist and Macro Strategist & Debt Research Division Head Helmy Kristanto said in a written statement, as quoted on Saturday (Feb. 14, 2026).
From an investment perspective, BRIDS views the easing of global interest rates as an opening for renewed capital inflows into emerging markets, including Indonesia. The domestic economy is also described as stable, with inflation under control and household consumption remaining resilient.
Against this backdrop, Helmy said bond instruments deserve attention as a portfolio stabilizer, making a combination of equities and fixed-income instruments a practical approach to keeping investment returns steadier.
“Conditions like these are usually followed by a stronger capital market. Disciplined investors have a strong chance to capture that growth,” he said.
However, the more constructive outlook will require more active participation from domestic investors to reinforce Indonesia’s capital market. He added that retail investors remain one of the important indicators for maintaining market stability and sustaining growth.
Helmy also said the mix of stock and bond investments would likely stay relevant in 2026, as global interest rates appear stable and domestic monetary policy remains accommodative.
That setting leaves room for fixed-income assets to remain attractive as a counterbalance in portfolios, while equities may still offer upside as corporate fundamentals improve.
Indonesianpost.com | Detik
